Week 4 Matchups
Thu, Oct 1
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
24
@
CLE -2.5
CLE
Cleveland Browns
27
Actual: PIT 47 – CLE 53
Model edge: CLE +2.1 | Pick: PIT ATS → LOSS
PIT wins the run game matchup. CLE has a passing efficiency edge. CLE wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: CLE -2.5 · Model edge: CLE +2.1
Sun, Oct 4
IND
Indianapolis Colts
@
WAS -4.5
WAS
Washington Commanders
Model edge: WAS +2.0 | Pick: IND ATS
IND wins the sack battle. Line: WAS -4.5 · Model edge: WAS +2.0
Sun, Oct 4
TEN
Tennessee Titans
@
TEN -11.5
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
Model edge: BAL +3.4 | Pick: BAL ATS
BAL wins the run game matchup. BAL has a passing efficiency edge. Line: TEN -11.5 · Model edge: BAL +3.4
Sun, Oct 4
NE
New England Patriots
@
NE -7
BUF
Buffalo Bills
Model edge: BUF +2.9 | Pick: BUF ATS
BUF wins the run game matchup. BUF has a passing efficiency edge. BUF wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: NE -7 · Model edge: BUF +2.9
Sun, Oct 4
NYJ
New York Jets
@
NYJ -3.5
CHI
Chicago Bears
Model edge: CHI +3.0 | Pick: CHI ATS
CHI wins the run game matchup. Line: NYJ -3.5 · Model edge: CHI +3.0
Sun, Oct 4
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
@
JAX -2.5
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
Model edge: CIN +2.9 | Pick: CIN ATS
CIN wins the sack battle. Line: JAX -2.5 · Model edge: CIN +2.9
Sun, Oct 4
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
@
DAL -3
HOU
Houston Texans
Model edge: HOU +3.8 | Pick: HOU ATS
HOU wins the sack battle. Line: DAL -3 · Model edge: HOU +3.8
Sun, Oct 4
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
@
NYG -2.5
NYG
New York Giants
Model edge: NYG +1.9 | Pick: ARI ATS
ARI wins the sack battle. Line: NYG -2.5 · Model edge: NYG +1.9
Sun, Oct 4
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
@
PHI -3.5
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
Model edge: PHI +2.1 | Pick: LAR ATS
Line: PHI -3.5 · Model edge: PHI +2.1
Sun, Oct 4
GB
Green Bay Packers
@
TB -3
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Model edge: TB +2.7 | Pick: GB ATS
TB wins the run game matchup. Line: TB -3 · Model edge: TB +2.7
Sun, Oct 4
MIA
Miami Dolphins
@
MIA -10
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
Model edge: MIN +3.8 | Pick: MIN ATS
MIA has a passing efficiency edge. MIN wins the sack battle. Line: MIA -10 · Model edge: MIN +3.8
Sun, Oct 4
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
@
LV -4.5
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
Model edge: LV +2.3 | Pick: KC ATS
KC wins the run game matchup. KC has a passing efficiency edge. LV wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: LV -4.5 · Model edge: LV +2.3
Sun, Oct 4
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
@
LAC -7
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
Model edge: SEA +2.6 | Pick: SEA ATS
SEA has a passing efficiency edge. Line: LAC -7 · Model edge: SEA +2.6
Sun, Oct 4
DEN
Denver Broncos
@
DEN -3
SF
San Francisco 49ers
Model edge: SF +3.2 | Pick: SF ATS
SF wins the run game matchup. SF has a passing efficiency edge. DEN wins the sack battle. Line: DEN -3 · Model edge: SF +3.2
Sun, Oct 4
DET
Detroit Lions
@
CAR -3.5
CAR
Carolina Panthers
Model edge: CAR +1.2 | Pick: DET ATS
DET wins the sack battle. Line: CAR -3.5 · Model edge: CAR +1.2
Mon, Oct 5
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
@
ATL -2.5
NO
New Orleans Saints
Model edge: NO +1.9 | Pick: NO ATS
ATL wins the run game matchup. NO wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: ATL -2.5 · Model edge: NO +1.9