Week 3 Matchups
Thu, Sep 24
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
35
@
ATL -4.5
GB
Green Bay Packers
14
Actual: ATL 71 – GB 29
Model edge: GB +2.2 | Pick: GB ATS → LOSS
ATL wins the run game matchup. GB wins the sack battle. Line: ATL -4.5 · Model edge: GB +2.2
Sun, Sep 27
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
16
@
LAC -7
BUF
Buffalo Bills
24
Actual: LAC 42 – BUF 58
Model edge: BUF +3.8 | Pick: BUF ATS → WIN
BUF wins the run game matchup. BUF has a passing efficiency edge. BUF wins the sack battle. Line: LAC -7 · Model edge: BUF +3.8
Sun, Sep 27
CAR
Carolina Panthers
18
@
CLE -2.5
CLE
Cleveland Browns
21
Actual: CAR 47 – CLE 53
Model edge: CLE +2.7 | Pick: CLE ATS → WIN
CLE wins the sack battle. Line: CLE -2.5 · Model edge: CLE +2.7
Sun, Sep 27
NYJ
New York Jets
24
@
NYJ -7
DET
Detroit Lions
31
Actual: NYJ 43 – DET 57
Model edge: DET +4.0 | Pick: DET ATS → WIN
DET wins the run game matchup. DET wins the sack battle. Line: NYJ -7 · Model edge: DET +4.0
Sun, Sep 27
HOU
Houston Texans
17
@
IND -1.5
IND
Indianapolis Colts
19
Actual: HOU 48 – IND 52
Model edge: IND +1.1 | Pick: HOU ATS → LOSS
HOU wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: IND -1.5 · Model edge: IND +1.1
Sun, Sep 27
NE
New England Patriots
6
@
NE -3
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
35
Actual: NE 21 – JAX 79
Model edge: JAX +2.9 | Pick: JAX ATS → WIN
Line: NE -3 · Model edge: JAX +2.9
Sun, Sep 27
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
24
@
MIA -10
MIA
Miami Dolphins
10
Actual: KC 64 – MIA 36
Model edge: MIA +0.8 | Pick: KC ATS → WIN
KC wins the run game matchup. KC has a passing efficiency edge. KC wins the sack battle. Line: MIA -10 · Model edge: MIA +0.8
Sun, Sep 27
TEN
Tennessee Titans
7
@
TEN -2.5
NYG
New York Giants
12
Actual: TEN 45 – NYG 55
Model edge: NYG +1.1 | Pick: NYG ATS → WIN
TEN wins the sack battle. Line: TEN -2.5 · Model edge: NYG +1.1
Sun, Sep 27
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
27
@
PIT -3.5
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
30
Actual: CIN 47 – PIT 53
Model edge: PIT +1.4 | Pick: CIN ATS → WIN
CIN has a passing efficiency edge. CIN wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: PIT -3.5 · Model edge: PIT +1.4
Sun, Sep 27
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
31
@
WAS -8.5
WAS
Washington Commanders
33
Actual: SEA 48 – WAS 52
Model edge: WAS +1.6 | Pick: SEA ATS → WIN
SEA has a passing efficiency edge. SEA wins the sack battle. Line: WAS -8.5 · Model edge: WAS +1.6
Sun, Sep 27
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
30
@
ARI -7.5
SF
San Francisco 49ers
36
Actual: ARI 44 – SF 56
Model edge: SF +3.2 | Pick: SF ATS → WIN
SF wins the run game matchup. SF has a passing efficiency edge. SF wins the sack battle. Divisional game — edge compressed. Line: ARI -7.5 · Model edge: SF +3.2
Sun, Sep 27
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
23
@
TB -1.5
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16
Actual: MIN 57 – TB 43
Model edge: TB +1.2 | Pick: MIN ATS → WIN
MIN wins the sack battle. Line: TB -1.5 · Model edge: TB +1.2
Sun, Sep 27
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
34
@
DAL -3
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
31
Actual: BAL 53 – DAL 47
Model edge: DAL +0.5 | Pick: BAL ATS → WIN
BAL wins the run game matchup. BAL has a passing efficiency edge. BAL wins the sack battle. Line: DAL -3 · Model edge: DAL +0.5
Sun, Sep 27
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
35
@
LV -3.5
NO
New Orleans Saints
27
Actual: LV 58 – NO 42
Model edge: NO +1.9 | Pick: NO ATS → LOSS
LV wins the sack battle. Line: LV -3.5 · Model edge: NO +1.9
Sun, Sep 27
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
26
@
LAR -1.5
DEN
Denver Broncos
30
Actual: LAR 46 – DEN 54
Model edge: DEN +3.0 | Pick: DEN ATS → WIN
LAR wins the run game matchup. LAR has a passing efficiency edge. DEN wins the sack battle. Line: LAR -1.5 · Model edge: DEN +3.0
Mon, Sep 28
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
7
@
CHI -3.5
CHI
Chicago Bears
27
Actual: PHI 30 – CHI 70
Model edge: CHI +4.0 | Pick: CHI ATS → WIN
CHI wins the run game matchup. CHI wins the sack battle. Line: CHI -3.5 · Model edge: CHI +4.0